Marquette Law School Poll: September 30 - October 4, 2020

Likely voters

This file contains likely voter crosstabulations of each non-demographic question with variables for sex, age, education, income, party identification with leaning independents, party identification without leaners, marital status, race and ethnicity, religious service attendance, religious affiliation, born again or evangelical identification, political ideology, and region of the state. To calculate the numeric size of a response, multiply the percent by the subsample size, indicated in the “n” column. Statistics for very small samples (such as “Don’t Know” responses) have very high margins of error and should be disregarded.

Note: questions Q32 - Q37 were added to the survey for October 2-4, after news emerged of President Trump’s positive COVID-19 diagnosis.

Q1: Follow politics

Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. Would you say you follow what's going on in politics most of the time, some of the time, only now and then, or hardly at all?
Most of the time Some of the time Only now and then Hardly at all Don't know n
sex
Male 75 17 5 2 1 332
Female 68 20 8 4 0 368
age
18-29 44 35 15 6 0 103
30-44 63 23 10 3 0 145
45-59 78 15 3 2 1 167
60+ 81 12 4 2 0 278
education
Not HS 55 7 38 0 0 16
HS 59 25 12 4 0 177
Some Coll 70 22 5 2 0 129
AA 67 20 12 1 0 87
BA+ 81 13 1 3 1 282
income
Under $40k 60 18 14 7 0 146
$40k to $74k 67 24 8 0 0 174
$75k up 79 13 4 3 0 269
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 75 14 7 3 0 203
Independent 73 18 6 3 0 285
Democrat 66 24 8 2 1 204
Other/None 43 13 0 31 7 8
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 75 14 7 3 0 203
Lean Rep 72 19 7 3 0 112
Ind 56 29 11 2 0 60
Lean Dem 82 12 2 4 0 114
Dem 66 24 8 2 1 204
Other/None 43 13 0 31 7 8
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 74 16 7 3 0 315
Independent 56 29 11 2 0 60
Democrat 72 19 6 3 0 318
Other/None 43 13 0 31 7 8
marital status
Married 79 15 4 3 0 436
Widow/Div/Sep 66 26 6 1 0 148
Never Married 46 26 22 6 0 107
NA/Ref 84 7 0 10 0 9
race and ethnicity
White 74 17 5 3 0 577
Black 52 27 21 0 0 31
Hispanic 61 6 22 11 0 40
Other 54 40 3 1 1 42
religious service attendance
More than once a week 74 13 13 0 0 46
Once a week 72 16 7 5 0 173
Once or twice a month 85 12 2 1 1 95
A few times a year 74 19 6 0 1 127
Seldom 69 18 9 4 0 116
Never 60 29 7 4 0 132
Don't know 46 40 13 0 0 5
religious preference
Born again Protestant 75 17 7 1 0 131
Mainline Protestant 66 19 8 6 1 176
Roman Catholic 75 16 7 2 0 204
No religion 74 21 5 0 0 129
Other religion 55 25 10 10 0 43
ideology
Very conservative 88 10 2 0 0 66
Conservative 73 17 7 3 0 204
Moderate 60 25 11 3 1 213
Liberal 74 17 3 6 0 136
Very liberal 86 13 0 1 0 56
Don't know 60 16 25 0 0 18
labor union membership
respondent 72 24 2 1 0 65
another household member 73 19 8 1 0 50
nobody in household 71 18 7 3 0 569
Don't know 22 0 39 39 0 9
region of Wisconsin
MKE City 60 14 21 3 1 55
Rest of MKE 76 12 7 4 0 237
MSN 74 25 2 0 0 123
GB/A 70 22 5 2 1 129
Rest of state 66 21 7 5 1 155

Q2: Chances of voting

What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2020 general election for president, Congress, and other offices -- are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, don't you think you will vote, or have you already voted either by absentee ballot or early in person voting?
Absolutely certain Already voted n
sex
Male 89 11 332
Female 84 16 368
age
18-29 96 4 103
30-44 89 11 145
45-59 91 9 167
60+ 80 20 278
education
Not HS 92 8 16
HS 91 9 177
Some Coll 88 12 129
AA 87 13 87
BA+ 84 16 282
income
Under $40k 87 13 146
$40k to $74k 91 9 174
$75k up 87 13 269
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 95 5 203
Independent 87 13 285
Democrat 79 21 204
Other/None 58 42 8
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 95 5 203
Lean Rep 92 8 112
Ind 94 6 60
Lean Dem 80 20 114
Dem 79 21 204
Other/None 58 42 8
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 94 6 315
Independent 94 6 60
Democrat 79 21 318
Other/None 58 42 8
marital status
Married 86 14 436
Widow/Div/Sep 86 14 148
Never Married 93 7 107
NA/Ref 53 47 9
race and ethnicity
White 86 14 577
Black 89 11 31
Hispanic 95 5 40
Other 88 12 42
religious service attendance
More than once a week 84 16 46
Once a week 83 17 173
Once or twice a month 88 12 95
A few times a year 93 7 127
Seldom 86 14 116
Never 88 12 132
Don't know 100 0 5
religious preference
Born again Protestant 89 11 131
Mainline Protestant 86 14 176
Roman Catholic 85 15 204
No religion 87 13 129
Other religion 94 6 43
ideology
Very conservative 95 5 66
Conservative 92 8 204
Moderate 81 19 213
Liberal 83 17 136
Very liberal 85 15 56
Don't know 91 9 18
labor union membership
respondent 80 20 65
another household member 95 5 50
nobody in household 87 13 569
Don't know 96 4 9
region of Wisconsin
MKE City 86 14 55
Rest of MKE 93 7 237
MSN 78 22 123
GB/A 86 14 129
Rest of state 85 15 155

Q3: Economy over last year

Over the past year, do you feel the economy has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same?
Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Don't know n
sex
Male 28 46 21 5 332
Female 26 58 13 2 368
age
18-29 20 62 15 3 103
30-44 26 54 16 3 145
45-59 34 48 16 3 167
60+ 26 51 19 5 278
education
Not HS 8 58 2 32 16
HS 21 59 17 2 177
Some Coll 28 40 25 7 129
AA 37 43 15 5 87
BA+ 27 57 15 1 282
income
Under $40k 21 61 15 3 146
$40k to $74k 33 52 14 1 174
$75k up 28 50 17 4 269
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 53 24 18 5 203
Independent 24 52 20 4 285
Democrat 7 80 11 2 204
Other/None 25 61 0 0 8
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 53 24 18 5 203
Lean Rep 45 32 17 6 112
Ind 25 41 32 2 60
Lean Dem 1 78 18 3 114
Dem 7 80 11 2 204
Other/None 25 61 0 0 8
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 50 27 18 5 315
Independent 25 41 32 2 60
Democrat 5 79 13 2 318
Other/None 25 61 0 0 8
marital status
Married 32 48 16 4 436
Widow/Div/Sep 21 56 18 4 148
Never Married 13 64 21 3 107
NA/Ref 40 56 0 4 9
race and ethnicity
White 27 52 16 4 577
Black 14 73 13 0 31
Hispanic 36 41 20 3 40
Other 22 53 23 0 42
religious service attendance
More than once a week 38 49 13 0 46
Once a week 33 40 21 5 173
Once or twice a month 22 58 15 5 95
A few times a year 31 53 14 1 127
Seldom 26 43 24 7 116
Never 18 73 8 0 132
Don't know 13 0 87 0 5
religious preference
Born again Protestant 26 43 28 2 131
Mainline Protestant 27 51 17 5 176
Roman Catholic 29 50 14 6 204
No religion 18 68 14 0 129
Other religion 47 44 8 1 43
ideology
Very conservative 49 38 11 2 66
Conservative 42 27 23 7 204
Moderate 18 56 22 4 213
Liberal 17 77 6 0 136
Very liberal 3 89 8 0 56
Don't know 18 51 29 2 18
labor union membership
respondent 19 69 13 0 65
another household member 30 51 19 0 50
nobody in household 27 50 17 4 569
Don't know 47 53 0 0 9
region of Wisconsin
MKE City 11 72 13 2 55
Rest of MKE 34 44 18 3 237
MSN 23 61 13 3 123
GB/A 23 54 17 5 129
Rest of state 28 50 18 4 155

Q4: Economy over next year

Looking ahead, over the next year do you expect the economy to get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
Get better Get worse Stay the same Don't know n
sex
Male 51 13 21 14 332
Female 40 18 27 14 368
age
18-29 47 18 28 7 103
30-44 39 18 28 15 145
45-59 46 15 22 16 167
60+ 48 14 23 15 278
education
Not HS 29 20 26 26 16
HS 46 17 23 13 177
Some Coll 47 20 22 11 129
AA 42 14 23 21 87
BA+ 46 13 27 14 282
income
Under $40k 35 19 29 16 146
$40k to $74k 57 16 19 8 174
$75k up 47 15 23 15 269
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 66 5 15 14 203
Independent 35 22 27 15 285
Democrat 40 17 30 13 204
Other/None 19 36 8 29 8
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 66 5 15 14 203
Lean Rep 53 8 20 18 112
Ind 32 27 21 18 60
Lean Dem 19 34 37 10 114
Dem 40 17 30 13 204
Other/None 19 36 8 29 8
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 62 6 17 16 315
Independent 32 27 21 18 60
Democrat 32 23 33 12 318
Other/None 19 36 8 29 8
marital status
Married 46 15 23 16 436
Widow/Div/Sep 40 19 24 16 148
Never Married 48 15 32 5 107
NA/Ref 50 32 7 0 9
race and ethnicity
White 46 16 23 14 577
Black 51 18 14 17 31
Hispanic 45 13 30 12 40
Other 33 15 43 9 42
religious service attendance
More than once a week 46 25 20 6 46
Once a week 49 13 20 18 173
Once or twice a month 60 13 15 12 95
A few times a year 41 18 30 12 127
Seldom 45 12 28 15 116
Never 37 19 29 15 132
Don't know 0 40 60 0 5
religious preference
Born again Protestant 46 22 16 15 131
Mainline Protestant 48 14 27 12 176
Roman Catholic 50 16 21 14 204
No religion 36 15 36 13 129
Other religion 39 12 28 21 43
ideology
Very conservative 75 2 10 14 66
Conservative 56 12 17 15 204
Moderate 40 20 28 11 213
Liberal 34 20 30 16 136
Very liberal 16 26 44 14 56
Don't know 44 11 20 24 18
labor union membership
respondent 36 21 25 16 65
another household member 31 31 14 25 50
nobody in household 47 14 26 13 569
Don't know 93 0 0 7 9
region of Wisconsin
MKE City 42 20 25 12 55
Rest of MKE 49 12 27 13 237
MSN 40 13 30 17 123
GB/A 47 22 18 12 129
Rest of state 44 19 20 17 155

Q5: Trump’s overall job

Donald Trump job approval, 2-category
Approve Disapprove Don't know n
sex
Male 53 45 2 332
Female 37 60 2 368
age
18-29 36 58 4 103
30-44 45 52 2 145
45-59 50 47 2 167
60+ 44 55 1 278
education
Not HS 22 78 0 16
HS 44 53 3 177
Some Coll 52 47 1 129
AA 53 42 1 87
BA+ 40 58 2 282
income
Under $40k 39 57 4 146
$40k to $74k 47 51 2 174
$75k up 46 54 0 269
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 91 9 0 203
Independent 44 53 2 285
Democrat 1 96 3 204
Other/None 12 61 14 8
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 91 9 0 203
Lean Rep 86 14 0 112
Ind 41 43 9 60
Lean Dem 4 96 0 114
Dem 1 96 3 204
Other/None 12 61 14 8
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 89 11 0 315
Independent 41 43 9 60
Democrat 2 96 2 318
Other/None 12 61 14 8